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Red1
46396.5
417916.4
431610.9
Blue54
51689.4
393746.6
53821.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22510100150200154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4179
#15
16.41.7
7.15.4
Auto0.8
Teleop15.5
End0.0
blue by 30.2
46.60.7
28.128.8
Auto0.5
Teleop46.1
End0.0
Second
4316
#54
10.91.7
10.58.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.0
End0.0
blue by 10.6
538
#11
21.61.0
12.113.0
Auto0.5
Teleop21.0
End0.0
Third
4639
#52
6.51.7
9.37.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.7
End0.0
blue by 2.8
5168
#24
9.41.0
8.39.3
Auto0.0
Teleop9.3
End0.0