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Red0
218315.5
46396.5
426513.9
Blue40
420910.8
18184.9
303937.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions402306080100120040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2183
#40
15.51.7
8.16.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.5
End0.0
blue by 21.6
3039
#10
37.11.2
10.611.8
Auto0.5
Teleop36.6
End0.0
Second
4265
#45
13.91.7
20.618.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.0
End0.0
red by 3.1
4209
#39
10.81.2
8.69.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.9
End0.0
Third
4639
#52
6.51.7
9.98.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.7
End0.0
red by 1.7
1818
#55
4.91.2
6.88.0
Auto0.5
Teleop4.3
End0.0