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Red36
208017.4
32279.0
162225.0
Blue0
222112.0
299217.1
458717.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43420206080100360

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1622
#12
25.00.4
22.722.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop25.5
End0.0
red by 7.1
4587
#28
17.93.3
13.810.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.9
End0.0
Second
2080
#37
17.40.4
14.814.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.7
End0.0
red by 0.3
2992
#36
17.13.3
20.216.9
Auto0.7
Teleop16.4
End0.0
Third
3227
#43
9.00.6
5.95.3
Auto0.8
Teleop8.2
End0.0
blue by 3.0
2221
#38
12.03.3
11.38.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop12.4
End0.0