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Qual 582015 Bayou Regional
Red32
361631.2
45168.9
384718.3
Blue62
147732.4
34687.5
40537.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6434020801001201401603262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3616
#16
31.21.5
29.6→28.1
Auto0.0
Teleop31.1
End0.0
blue by 1.2
1477
#13
32.41.1
31.3→32.4
Auto0.2
Teleop32.1
End0.0
Second
3847
#21
18.31.5
21.5→20.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop18.7
End0.0
red by 10.7
4053
#53
7.61.8
2.9→4.8
Auto0.1
Teleop7.5
End0.0
Third
4516
#51
8.91.5
10.6→9.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop9.3
End0.0
red by 1.4
3468
#59
7.51.8
5.6→7.5
Auto0.0
Teleop7.5
End0.0