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Red38
41079.5
350215.9
541616.6
Blue6
458717.9
426513.9
142121.6
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41540100150200250386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5416
#23
16.60.5
12.912.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.6
End0.0
blue by 5.1
1421
#18
21.63.5
24.621.1
Auto0.0
Teleop21.6
End0.0
Second
3502
#57
15.90.3
17.517.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop16.3
End0.0
blue by 2.0
4587
#28
17.93.5
10.67.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.9
End0.0
Third
4107
#34
9.50.5
14.113.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.6
End0.0
blue by 4.4
4265
#45
13.93.5
18.915.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.0
End0.0