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Red22
54699.4
394619.4
53821.6
Blue12
5908.0
207812.5
48059.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions481604060801001201402212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
538
#11
21.61.9
21.920.0
Auto0.5
Teleop21.0
End0.0
red by 9.1
2078
#47
12.50.8
6.05.2
Auto0.3
Teleop12.2
End0.0
Second
3946
#42
19.41.9
11.79.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.7
End0.0
red by 10.1
4805
#44
9.30.8
7.76.9
Auto0.6
Teleop8.7
End0.0
Third
5469
#31
9.41.9
11.59.6
Auto0.8
Teleop8.6
End0.0
red by 1.4
590
#35
8.00.8
8.07.2
Auto-0.7
Teleop8.7
End0.0