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Red48
17938.8
433615.6
45536.9
Blue16
435310.4
18184.9
162225.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5839020801001201404816

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#6
38.80.2
34.835.0
Auto0.4
Teleop38.4
End0.0
red by 13.8
1622
#12
25.01.4
24.222.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop25.5
End0.0
Second
4336
#26
15.60.3
14.214.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.6
End0.0
red by 5.2
4353
#30
10.42.3
12.210.0
Auto0.3
Teleop10.1
End0.0
Third
4553
#49
6.90.3
7.88.0
Auto0.2
Teleop6.8
End0.0
red by 2.1
1818
#55
4.92.3
6.84.5
Auto0.5
Teleop4.3
End0.0