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Red58
350215.9
578510.2
375324.4
Blue0
41079.5
420910.8
384718.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41470100150200250580

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3753
#27
24.41.3
17.318.6
Auto0.1
Teleop24.3
End0.0
red by 6.1
3847
#21
18.32.4
20.017.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop18.7
End0.0
Second
3502
#57
15.90.8
17.117.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop16.3
End0.0
red by 5.1
4209
#39
10.84.0
13.910.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.9
End0.0
Third
5785
#25
10.21.3
8.59.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.4
End0.0
red by 0.7
4107
#34
9.54.0
13.69.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.6
End0.0