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Red0
333711.7
34687.5
431610.9
Blue42
238351.3
463510.5
459222.1
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1589050100150200250042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3337
#50
11.70.4
9.610.0
Auto0.4
Teleop11.2
End0.0
blue by 39.6
51.31.9
49.447.5
Auto9.6
Teleop41.7
End0.0
Second
4316
#54
10.90.7
10.010.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.0
End0.0
blue by 11.1
4592
#14
22.11.9
19.617.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop22.5
End0.0
Third
3468
#59
7.50.7
7.58.2
Auto0.0
Teleop7.5
End0.0
blue by 3.0
4635
#32
10.51.9
11.79.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.7
End0.0