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Qual 762015 Bayou Regional
Red139
361631.2
375324.4
162225.0
Blue96
49789.6
219013.1
258735.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7141020608010012014016013996

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3616
#16
31.23.5
27.2→30.7
Auto0.0
Teleop31.1
End0.0
blue by 3.9
2587
#5
35.13.8
29.8→33.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop35.3
End0.0
Second
1622
#12
25.03.5
22.8→26.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop25.5
End0.0
red by 12.0
2190
#33
13.13.8
10.0→13.8
Auto0.1
Teleop12.9
End0.0
Third
3753
#27
24.45.5
18.6→24.0
Auto0.1
Teleop24.3
End0.0
red by 14.8
4978
#46
9.63.8
7.3→11.1
Auto0.0
Teleop9.6
End0.0