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Red52
53821.6
463510.5
433615.6
Blue130
331027.2
218315.5
458717.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4437020608010012052130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
538
#11
21.61.1
20.021.1
Auto0.5
Teleop21.0
End0.0
blue by 5.7
27.24.5
23.027.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop27.2
End0.0
Second
4336
#26
15.61.1
14.515.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.6
End0.0
blue by 2.3
4587
#28
17.97.0
8.916.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.9
End0.0
Third
4635
#32
10.50.7
9.810.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.7
End0.0
blue by 5.0
2183
#40
15.57.0
7.614.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.5
End0.0