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Red26
191220.3
350215.9
32279.0
Blue0
431610.9
45168.9
48059.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46260406080100120140260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1912
#17
20.30.9
16.715.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.5
End0.0
red by 9.4
4316
#54
10.90.9
10.89.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.0
End0.0
Second
3502
#57
15.90.9
17.916.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop16.3
End0.0
red by 6.6
4805
#44
9.30.9
10.29.3
Auto0.6
Teleop8.7
End0.0
Third
3227
#43
9.01.4
10.49.0
Auto0.8
Teleop8.2
End0.0
red by 0.1
4516
#51
8.90.6
9.08.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop9.3
End0.0