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Red66
395934.7
207812.5
18184.9
Blue99
238351.3
578510.2
222112.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions446801001502006699

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.70.8
34.235.1
Auto0.5
Teleop34.2
End0.0
blue by 16.6
51.31.6
49.350.9
Auto9.6
Teleop41.7
End0.0
Second
2078
#47
12.51.2
11.212.5
Auto0.3
Teleop12.2
End0.0
red by 0.5
2221
#38
12.02.3
9.712.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop12.4
End0.0
Third
1818
#55
4.91.2
3.64.9
Auto0.5
Teleop4.3
End0.0
blue by 5.4
5785
#25
10.22.3
7.910.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.4
End0.0