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Red79
258735.1
435310.4
420910.8
Blue71
192726.3
29734.1
394619.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5420040801001201401607971

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.12.0
33.635.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop35.3
End0.0
red by 8.8
1927
#29
26.33.2
17.921.1
Auto0.6
Teleop25.6
End0.0
Second
4209
#39
10.82.0
8.810.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.9
End0.0
blue by 8.6
3946
#42
19.43.2
7.410.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.7
End0.0
Third
4353
#30
10.42.0
8.410.4
Auto0.3
Teleop10.1
End0.0
red by 6.3
2973
#58
4.13.2
0.94.1
Auto0.0
Teleop4.1
End0.0