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Qual 892015 Bayou Regional
Red82
361631.2
431610.9
331027.2
Blue94
384718.3
417916.4
45645.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63725001,0001,5002,0008294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3616
#16
31.20.7
30.7→31.5
Auto0.0
Teleop31.1
End0.0
blue by 14.5
456
#3
45.61.1
40.7→41.8
Auto0.1
Teleop45.6
End0.0
Second
3310
#7
27.20.7
26.5→27.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop27.2
End0.0
red by 8.9
3847
#21
18.31.1
17.2→18.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop18.7
End0.0
Third
4316
#54
10.91.1
9.9→10.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop11.0
End0.0
blue by 5.4
4179
#15
16.41.4
15.0→16.4
Auto0.8
Teleop15.5
End0.0