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Red38
242313.3
346622.2
490933.2
Blue56
549121.5
417619.2
404839.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions626240455055606570753856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4909
#10
33.21.3
27.225.9
Auto1.0
Teleop32.2
End0.0
blue by 6.2
4048
#13
39.50.2
35.936.1
Auto0.8
Teleop38.6
End0.0
Second
3466
#22
22.21.3
20.719.4
Auto0.4
Teleop21.8
End0.0
red by 0.7
5491
#18
21.50.2
13.513.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.8
End0.0
Third
2423
#37
13.31.3
16.715.4
Auto0.8
Teleop12.5
End0.0
blue by 6.0
4176
#24
19.20.2
14.815.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.3
End0.0