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Red110
271328.1
10279.7
17237.4
Blue67
323624.9
107330.3
534715.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59440208010012014011067

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172
#3
37.42.6
28.330.9
Auto0.8
Teleop36.6
End0.0
red by 7.1
1073
#15
30.31.2
23.925.2
Auto0.8
Teleop29.4
End0.0
Second
2713
#11
28.12.6
22.024.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop28.2
End0.0
red by 3.2
3236
#19
24.91.2
17.719.0
Auto0.4
Teleop24.5
End0.0
Third
1027
#33
9.72.6
8.711.2
Auto0.7
Teleop9.0
End0.0
blue by 5.7
5347
#17
15.31.2
6.57.7
Auto0.7
Teleop14.6
End0.0