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Red11
416919.9
545916.8
479615.6
Blue88
17619.7
66320.3
12549.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39940501502001188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4169
#29
19.91.9
19.817.9
Auto1.2
Teleop18.7
End0.0
blue by 30.0
125
#6
49.90.3
54.154.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop50.2
End0.0
Second
5459
#23
16.81.9
12.710.8
Auto0.2
Teleop16.6
End0.0
blue by 3.5
663
#31
20.30.3
21.421.7
Auto1.0
Teleop19.3
End0.0
Third
4796
#36
15.61.9
16.915.0
Auto0.1
Teleop15.6
End0.0
red by 5.9
1761
#39
9.70.3
12.913.2
Auto-0.9
Teleop10.6
End0.0