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Red117
178611.6
573526.5
16638.1
Blue114
34846.2
9721.1
287742.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61870100150200250300117114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#9
38.12.5
27.630.1
Auto1.2
Teleop37.0
End0.0
blue by 8.0
348
#8
46.21.4
43.044.5
Auto1.0
Teleop45.1
End0.0
Second
5735
#16
26.52.5
26.428.9
Auto0.8
Teleop25.7
End0.0
blue by 15.6
42.11.4
30.431.8
Auto0.3
Teleop41.8
End0.0
Third
1786
#32
11.62.5
13.215.7
Auto1.2
Teleop10.3
End0.0
blue by 9.6
97
#20
21.11.4
12.413.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.3
End0.0