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Red34
416919.9
66320.3
403413.8
Blue30
49878.3
10279.7
178611.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5934020801001201403430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
663
#31
20.31.2
20.619.5
Auto1.0
Teleop19.3
End0.0
red by 8.7
1786
#32
11.60.5
17.116.7
Auto1.2
Teleop10.3
End0.0
Second
4169
#29
19.91.2
17.516.4
Auto1.2
Teleop18.7
End0.0
red by 10.3
1027
#33
9.70.5
14.113.6
Auto0.7
Teleop9.0
End0.0
Third
4034
#30
13.81.2
18.917.7
Auto0.4
Teleop13.4
End0.0
red by 5.5
4987
#34
8.30.5
8.27.8
Auto0.1
Teleop8.2
End0.0