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Red78
271328.1
563310.1
417619.2
Blue54
6925.1
479615.6
196512.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5045204060801007854

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2713
#11
28.11.3
24.225.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop28.2
End0.0
red by 3.0
69
#21
25.10.3
21.722.1
Auto0.7
Teleop24.4
End0.0
Second
4176
#24
19.21.3
16.718.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.3
End0.0
red by 3.6
4796
#36
15.60.3
14.815.1
Auto0.1
Teleop15.6
End0.0
Third
5633
#35
10.11.3
10.511.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.4
End0.0
blue by 1.9
1965
#27
12.00.3
10.711.1
Auto0.9
Teleop11.1
End0.0