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Red134
151992.4
563310.1
9721.1
Blue112
346622.2
107330.3
416919.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119550100150200134112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
92.41.0
86.887.8
Auto15.6
Teleop76.8
End0.0
red by 62.2
1073
#15
30.32.2
32.334.6
Auto0.8
Teleop29.4
End0.0
Second
97
#20
21.11.0
17.018.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.3
End0.0
blue by 1.0
3466
#22
22.22.2
20.222.5
Auto0.4
Teleop21.8
End0.0
Third
5633
#35
10.11.0
9.911.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.4
End0.0
blue by 9.8
4169
#29
19.92.2
14.516.8
Auto1.2
Teleop18.7
End0.0