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Red5
490821.6
10279.7
287742.1
Blue92
16638.1
17237.4
404839.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64116050100150200250300592

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.13.5
39.335.8
Auto0.3
Teleop41.8
End0.0
red by 2.6
4048
#13
39.50.7
41.140.4
Auto0.8
Teleop38.6
End0.0
Second
4908
#25
21.63.5
22.419.0
Auto0.4
Teleop21.1
End0.0
blue by 16.6
166
#9
38.10.7
37.136.4
Auto1.2
Teleop37.0
End0.0
Third
1027
#33
9.73.5
12.99.4
Auto0.7
Teleop9.0
End0.0
blue by 27.8
172
#3
37.40.7
33.532.8
Auto0.8
Teleop36.6
End0.0