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Red80
404839.5
178611.6
12641.9
Blue95
12549.9
563310.1
500011.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101630501502008095

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
#5
41.90.9
44.043.1
Auto0.4
Teleop41.5
End0.0
blue by 8.0
125
#6
49.91.2
50.451.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop50.2
End0.0
Second
4048
#13
39.50.9
40.039.1
Auto0.8
Teleop38.6
End0.0
red by 27.5
5000
#40
11.91.2
12.613.8
Auto0.0
Teleop11.9
End0.0
Third
1786
#32
11.60.9
14.213.3
Auto1.2
Teleop10.3
End0.0
red by 1.4
5633
#35
10.11.2
7.99.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.4
End0.0