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Red51
17619.7
208423.8
10279.7
Blue66
175719.3
346622.2
66320.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37650501001502005166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2084
#14
23.80.4
22.523.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop24.1
End0.0
red by 1.6
3466
#22
22.20.2
22.322.4
Auto0.4
Teleop21.8
End0.0
Second
1761
#39
9.70.4
12.112.5
Auto-0.9
Teleop10.6
End0.0
blue by 10.6
663
#31
20.30.2
17.817.9
Auto1.0
Teleop19.3
End0.0
Third
1027
#33
9.70.4
8.38.7
Auto0.7
Teleop9.0
End0.0
blue by 9.7
1757
#26
19.30.2
22.722.8
Auto1.6
Teleop17.8
End0.0