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Red77
320528.5
346622.2
323624.9
Blue16
178611.6
500011.9
107330.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions745501001507716

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3205
#12
28.50.2
28.428.6
Auto0.8
Teleop27.7
End0.0
blue by 1.7
1073
#15
30.31.9
32.630.7
Auto0.8
Teleop29.4
End0.0
Second
3236
#19
24.90.2
23.023.1
Auto0.4
Teleop24.5
End0.0
red by 13.0
5000
#40
11.91.9
13.811.9
Auto0.0
Teleop11.9
End0.0
Third
3466
#22
22.20.2
22.422.6
Auto0.4
Teleop21.8
End0.0
red by 10.6
1786
#32
11.61.9
13.311.4
Auto1.2
Teleop10.3
End0.0