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Red3
573526.5
17619.7
175719.3
Blue44
49878.3
12641.9
242313.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6563204080100344

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5735
#16
26.52.8
30.027.2
Auto0.8
Teleop25.7
End0.0
blue by 15.4
126
#5
41.91.2
43.142.0
Auto0.4
Teleop41.5
End0.0
Second
1757
#26
19.32.8
22.820.0
Auto1.6
Teleop17.8
End0.0
red by 6.1
2423
#37
13.31.2
14.413.3
Auto0.8
Teleop12.5
End0.0
Third
1761
#39
9.72.8
12.59.7
Auto-0.9
Teleop10.6
End0.0
red by 1.4
4987
#34
8.31.2
9.58.3
Auto0.1
Teleop8.2
End0.0