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Red64
8833.4
7838.5
575210.2
Blue84
181122.3
395823.2
479619.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions875801001502006484

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#3
38.50.3
39.739.4
Auto1.0
Teleop37.5
End0.0
red by 15.3
3958
#10
23.20.3
23.223.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop23.6
End0.0
Second
88
#7
33.40.3
34.634.4
Auto1.3
Teleop32.1
End0.0
red by 11.1
1811
#13
22.30.3
22.322.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.3
End0.0
Third
5752
#23
10.20.3
11.411.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop10.7
End0.0
blue by 9.4
4796
#19
19.60.3
19.619.9
Auto0.4
Teleop19.2
End0.0