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Red170
23044.7
151977.3
490819.0
Blue126
12536.0
24646.3
9712.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13879050100150200250170126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.30.6
74.975.5
Auto15.0
Teleop62.3
End0.0
red by 31.0
246
#2
46.30.6
45.045.6
Auto4.0
Teleop42.3
End0.0
Second
230
#4
44.70.6
42.242.8
Auto1.4
Teleop43.3
End0.0
red by 8.7
125
#5
36.00.6
34.735.3
Auto0.0
Teleop35.9
End0.0
Third
4908
#22
19.00.6
16.517.1
Auto1.5
Teleop17.5
End0.0
red by 6.1
97
#25
12.80.6
11.512.1
Auto-0.8
Teleop13.6
End0.0