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Red104
112426.4
15528.1
135013.2
Blue48
181122.3
395823.2
479619.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions646320408010010448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155
#6
28.10.7
27.227.9
Auto1.2
Teleop26.9
End0.0
red by 4.9
3958
#10
23.20.3
23.523.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop23.6
End0.0
Second
26.40.7
25.526.2
Auto0.6
Teleop25.8
End0.0
red by 4.1
1811
#13
22.30.3
22.622.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.3
End0.0
Third
1350
#24
13.20.7
12.312.9
Auto0.4
Teleop12.8
End0.0
blue by 6.4
4796
#19
19.60.3
19.919.6
Auto0.4
Teleop19.2
End0.0