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Red129
12536.0
24646.3
9712.8
Blue65
112426.4
15528.1
135013.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9660015020012965

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
246
#2
46.30.6
45.946.5
Auto4.0
Teleop42.3
End0.0
red by 18.2
155
#6
28.10.0
28.128.1
Auto1.2
Teleop26.9
End0.0
Second
125
#5
36.00.6
35.636.2
Auto0.0
Teleop35.9
End0.0
red by 9.6
26.40.0
26.426.4
Auto0.6
Teleop25.8
End0.0
Third
97
#25
12.80.6
12.413.0
Auto-0.8
Teleop13.6
End0.0
blue by 0.3
1350
#24
13.20.0
13.213.2
Auto0.4
Teleop12.8
End0.0