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Red90
573815.2
323617.3
12536.0
Blue58
207921.4
511219.8
395823.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464502060801009058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#5
36.02.2
28.430.5
Auto0.0
Teleop35.9
End0.0
red by 12.8
3958
#10
23.20.5
18.418.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop23.6
End0.0
Second
3236
#17
17.33.6
11.014.6
Auto0.4
Teleop17.0
End0.0
blue by 4.1
2079
#11
21.40.9
10.111.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.5
End0.0
Third
5738
#18
15.23.6
7.411.0
Auto0.2
Teleop15.1
End0.0
blue by 4.6
5112
#16
19.80.9
18.519.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.9
End0.0