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Red57
10275.3
8833.4
15528.1
Blue5
575210.2
9712.8
242317.9
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7328050100150575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#7
33.40.6
34.533.9
Auto1.3
Teleop32.1
End0.0
red by 15.5
2423
#12
17.92.1
18.316.2
Auto1.5
Teleop16.4
End0.0
Second
155
#6
28.10.6
22.221.6
Auto1.2
Teleop26.9
End0.0
red by 15.2
97
#25
12.82.1
6.84.7
Auto-0.8
Teleop13.6
End0.0
Third
1027
#27
5.31.0
11.710.8
Auto0.7
Teleop4.6
End0.0
blue by 4.9
5752
#23
10.21.3
10.99.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop10.7
End0.0