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Red36
135013.2
10275.3
395823.2
Blue22
323617.3
431118.9
573815.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464202060801001203622

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3958
#10
23.20.6
18.918.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop23.6
End0.0
red by 4.3
4311
#21
18.91.1
18.717.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.2
End0.0
Second
1350
#24
13.20.9
17.616.7
Auto0.4
Teleop12.8
End0.0
blue by 4.2
3236
#17
17.31.9
14.612.8
Auto0.4
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Third
1027
#27
5.30.9
10.89.8
Auto0.7
Teleop4.6
End0.0
blue by 9.9
5738
#18
15.21.9
11.09.2
Auto0.2
Teleop15.1
End0.0