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Red101
7838.5
207921.4
9712.8
Blue80
181122.3
575210.2
479619.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4140020608010010180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#3
38.55.0
25.430.4
Auto1.0
Teleop37.5
End0.0
red by 16.2
1811
#13
22.31.9
18.019.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.3
End0.0
Second
2079
#11
21.45.0
11.016.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.5
End0.0
red by 1.8
4796
#19
19.63.2
14.517.6
Auto0.4
Teleop19.2
End0.0
Third
97
#25
12.85.0
4.79.7
Auto-0.8
Teleop13.6
End0.0
red by 2.7
5752
#23
10.21.9
9.711.6
Auto-0.5
Teleop10.7
End0.0