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Red118
12536.0
23044.7
8833.4
Blue18
242317.9
10214.6
12119.7
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10942015020011818

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#4
44.70.8
38.539.3
Auto1.4
Teleop43.3
End0.0
red by 25.0
121
#14
19.72.3
25.322.9
Auto1.0
Teleop18.7
End0.0
Second
125
#5
36.00.8
28.429.1
Auto0.0
Teleop35.9
End0.0
red by 18.0
2423
#12
17.92.5
18.215.7
Auto1.5
Teleop16.4
End0.0
Third
88
#7
33.40.8
35.536.3
Auto1.3
Teleop32.1
End0.0
red by 18.9
102
#20
14.61.5
10.28.8
Auto0.7
Teleop13.9
End0.0