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Red58
511219.8
573815.2
395823.2
Blue39
287727.8
135013.2
479619.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions526501001502005839

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3958
#10
23.20.1
18.718.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop23.6
End0.0
blue by 4.6
2877
#15
27.82.1
22.120.0
Auto1.0
Teleop26.8
End0.0
Second
5112
#16
19.80.1
26.126.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.9
End0.0
red by 0.2
4796
#19
19.62.1
24.922.8
Auto0.4
Teleop19.2
End0.0
Third
5738
#18
15.20.1
11.511.7
Auto0.2
Teleop15.1
End0.0
red by 2.1
1350
#24
13.22.1
18.816.7
Auto0.4
Teleop12.8
End0.0