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Red137
151977.3
15528.1
181122.3
Blue56
431118.9
24646.3
12536.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1137905010015020025013756

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
77.31.3
69.270.5
Auto15.0
Teleop62.3
End0.0
red by 31.0
246
#2
46.31.6
41.039.4
Auto4.0
Teleop42.3
End0.0
Second
155
#6
28.11.3
21.222.4
Auto1.2
Teleop26.9
End0.0
blue by 7.9
125
#5
36.01.6
29.127.6
Auto0.0
Teleop35.9
End0.0
Third
1811
#13
22.31.3
21.222.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.3
End0.0
red by 3.4
4311
#21
18.91.6
17.415.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.2
End0.0