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Red20
490819.0
37803.9
323617.3
Blue19
242317.9
9712.8
10275.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34310204060801002019

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4908
#22
19.01.2
13.912.7
Auto1.5
Teleop17.5
End0.0
red by 1.0
2423
#12
17.91.1
15.714.6
Auto1.5
Teleop16.4
End0.0
Second
3236
#17
17.31.2
14.813.6
Auto0.4
Teleop17.0
End0.0
red by 4.5
97
#25
12.81.1
10.99.8
Auto-0.8
Teleop13.6
End0.0
Third
3780
#26
3.90.7
6.25.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop4.2
End0.0
blue by 1.4
1027
#27
5.31.1
6.45.3
Auto0.7
Teleop4.6
End0.0