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Red90
395823.2
24646.3
479619.6
Blue101
10275.3
12119.7
151977.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5287010015020025090101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
246
#2
46.32.1
34.636.7
Auto4.0
Teleop42.3
End0.0
blue by 31.0
77.30.8
56.156.9
Auto15.0
Teleop62.3
End0.0
Second
3958
#10
23.22.1
14.816.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop23.6
End0.0
red by 3.5
121
#14
19.71.4
19.020.4
Auto1.0
Teleop18.7
End0.0
Third
4796
#19
19.63.5
10.313.9
Auto0.4
Teleop19.2
End0.0
red by 14.3
1027
#27
5.31.4
9.310.7
Auto0.7
Teleop4.6
End0.0