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Red76
23044.7
431118.9
207921.4
Blue117
12536.0
511219.8
15528.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6153020408010012014076117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#4
44.70.7
35.536.2
Auto1.4
Teleop43.3
End0.0
red by 8.7
125
#5
36.03.4
22.826.2
Auto0.0
Teleop35.9
End0.0
Second
2079
#11
21.41.2
8.39.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.5
End0.0
blue by 6.7
155
#6
28.13.0
16.920.0
Auto1.2
Teleop26.9
End0.0
Third
4311
#21
18.90.7
18.218.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.2
End0.0
blue by 0.9
5112
#16
19.85.1
16.321.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.9
End0.0