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Red6
360457.2
439518.0
30216.3
Blue6
7065.9
22661.2
150419.6
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7615305010020025066

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3604
#28
57.20.0
57.257.2
Auto1.9
Teleop55.3
End0.0
blue by 8.7
70
#15
65.90.0
65.965.9
Auto8.9
Teleop57.0
End0.0
Second
4395
#34
18.00.0
18.018.0
Auto0.8
Teleop17.2
End0.0
blue by 43.2
226
#33
61.20.0
61.261.2
Auto0.1
Teleop61.2
End0.0
Third
302
#24
16.30.0
16.316.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop16.6
End0.0
blue by 3.3
1504
#21
19.60.0
19.619.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop19.8
End0.0