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Red76
283455.4
5134.8
46970.7
Blue64
47025.4
171849.2
50351.6
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163114501001502002507664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#14
70.70.0
70.770.7
Auto-1.2
Teleop71.9
End0.0
red by 19.1
503
#2
51.60.0
51.651.6
Auto-0.6
Teleop52.2
End0.0
Second
2834
#10
55.40.0
55.455.4
Auto0.3
Teleop55.1
End0.0
red by 6.3
1718
#20
49.20.0
49.249.2
Auto0.3
Teleop48.9
End0.0
Third
51
#35
34.80.0
34.834.8
Auto0.6
Teleop34.2
End0.0
red by 9.3
470
#13
25.40.0
25.425.4
Auto0.9
Teleop24.5
End0.0