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Red115
30216.3
332245.4
22661.2
Blue18
45076.9
283455.4
6666.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117126020030040011518

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#33
61.20.0
61.261.2
Auto0.1
Teleop61.2
End0.0
blue by 5.2
66
#32
66.50.0
66.566.5
Auto1.3
Teleop65.2
End0.0
Second
3322
#25
45.40.0
45.445.4
Auto0.2
Teleop45.3
End0.0
blue by 10.0
2834
#10
55.40.0
55.455.4
Auto0.3
Teleop55.1
End0.0
Third
302
#24
16.30.0
16.316.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop16.6
End0.0
red by 9.4
4507
#38
6.90.0
6.96.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.0
End0.0