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Red20
543623.2
91023.7
360457.2
Blue29
354762.4
173231.7
5134.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions951300501502002502029

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3604
#28
57.20.0
57.257.2
Auto1.9
Teleop55.3
End0.0
blue by 5.2
62.40.0
62.462.4
Auto1.5
Teleop60.9
End0.0
Second
910
#31
23.70.0
23.723.7
Auto1.0
Teleop22.7
End0.0
blue by 11.0
51
#35
34.80.0
34.834.8
Auto0.6
Teleop34.2
End0.0
Third
5436
#22
23.20.0
23.223.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.3
End0.0
blue by 8.5
1732
#27
31.70.0
31.731.7
Auto0.5
Teleop31.2
End0.0