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Red112
17321.5
24634.6
568714.4
Blue61
500016.7
346617.4
416914.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56440208010012014011261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
246
#5
34.60.9
29.930.8
Auto0.5
Teleop34.1
End0.0
red by 17.2
17.40.2
17.217.4
Auto0.2
Teleop17.2
End0.0
Second
173
#18
21.50.9
16.817.8
Auto0.1
Teleop21.5
End0.0
red by 4.8
5000
#10
16.70.2
16.516.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.7
End0.0
Third
5687
#29
14.40.9
9.710.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.7
End0.0
Level
4169
#14
14.50.2
14.214.5
Auto0.6
Teleop13.9
End0.0