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Red12
107325.9
128915.5
271316.0
Blue4
346617.4
545912.5
349914.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40260206080100120124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.91.3
16.315.0
Auto0.0
Teleop25.8
End0.0
red by 8.5
17.42.1
13.411.2
Auto0.2
Teleop17.2
End0.0
Second
2713
#15
16.01.3
9.78.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.3
End0.0
red by 1.6
3499
#21
14.42.1
9.77.6
Auto0.2
Teleop14.2
End0.0
Third
1289
#25
15.50.8
13.412.6
Auto0.5
Teleop15.0
End0.0
red by 3.0
5459
#24
12.52.1
6.44.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop12.9
End0.0