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Red56
287626.3
17321.5
555610.4
Blue44
431116.5
492914.3
17216.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions352204060801001205644

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.31.1
15.516.6
Auto0.8
Teleop25.5
End0.0
red by 9.8
4311
#12
16.51.6
9.411.0
Auto0.1
Teleop16.4
End0.0
Second
173
#18
21.51.8
9.711.5
Auto0.1
Teleop21.5
End0.0
red by 7.3
4929
#17
14.31.6
9.711.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.6
End0.0
Third
5556
#23
10.41.8
8.810.6
Auto0.1
Teleop10.2
End0.0
red by 4.0
1721
#38
6.41.6
5.97.4
Auto0.1
Teleop6.3
End0.0