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Red98
19658.2
356627.3
176834.9
Blue74
416914.5
176113.7
490533.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384902060801001201401609874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.95.2
16.021.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop35.0
End0.0
red by 1.5
33.41.2
27.628.8
Auto0.7
Teleop32.7
End0.0
Second
27.33.1
15.618.7
Auto0.7
Teleop26.5
End0.0
red by 12.8
4169
#14
14.52.1
12.014.0
Auto0.6
Teleop13.9
End0.0
Third
1965
#32
8.25.2
9.514.8
Auto0.2
Teleop8.0
End0.0
blue by 5.5
1761
#30
13.72.1
9.711.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.9
End0.0