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Red30
176113.7
271316.0
431116.5
Blue13
173513.7
53473.8
115313.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284002060801001201403013

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4311
#12
16.50.1
11.010.9
Auto0.1
Teleop16.4
End0.0
red by 2.6
1153
#31
13.92.2
18.015.8
Auto1.0
Teleop12.9
End0.0
Second
2713
#15
16.00.1
8.48.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.3
End0.0
red by 2.3
1735
#34
13.72.2
15.913.7
Auto0.4
Teleop13.3
End0.0
Third
1761
#30
13.70.1
11.811.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.9
End0.0
red by 9.9
5347
#39
3.82.2
6.03.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop3.8
End0.0